Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simas Lukosius | 34 | 4-17 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +12.0 |
| Dillon Mitchell | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | +14.0 |
| Jizzle James | 28 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 27 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +10.9 |
| Aziz Bandaogo | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.7 |
| D. Thomas | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +7.5 |
| Connor Hickman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.9 |
| Tyler Betsey | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Cheeks | 39 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Nate Santos | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Malachi Smith | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Zed Key | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Posh Alexander | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -8.7 |
| Javon Bennett | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Amael L'Etang | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -12.6 |
| Jaiun Simon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Isaac Jack | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Jacob Conner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter