Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Freemantle | 35 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -8.1 |
| D. McKnight | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -1.8 |
| R. Conwell | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | -1.5 |
| M. Foster | 30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -11.0 |
| D. Swain | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -10.3 |
| J. Hunter | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +0.7 |
| D. Maddox Jr. | 14 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.6 |
| J. Hugley IV | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 21 | +9.8 |
| A. Bandaogo | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +13.5 |
| S. Lukosius | 29 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +15.5 |
| D. Skillings Jr. | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +2.7 |
| J. James | 24 | 0-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +5.8 |
| D. Thomas | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.6 |
| C. Hickman | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +3.7 |
| A. Page | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| T. Betsey | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.3 |
| J. Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter