Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. James * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -0.1 |
| S. Lukosius * | 33 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +2.1 |
| D. Mitchell * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +5.2 |
| C. Hickman * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +4.1 |
| A. Bandaogo * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.0 |
| D. Thomas | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +1.7 |
| A. Page | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| J. Reed | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.8 |
| T. Betsey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.2 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Poplar * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | +6.0 |
| J. Brickus * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +5.3 |
| J. Longino * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +2.4 |
| E. Dixon * | 33 | 11-23 | 3-7 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 13 | +2.6 |
| E. Boakye * | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +0.6 |
| T. Perkins | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -7.3 |
| J. Moseley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.2 |
| K. Parker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| N. Njoku | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
* = starter