Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +44 (93-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -33.9 |
| Sam Brown * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -18.4 |
| Nick Spinoso * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -36.8 |
| Dylan Williams * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | -11.1 |
| Johnnie Walter * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Michelangelo Oberti | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -32.5 |
| Michael Zanoni | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -15.7 |
| AJ Levine | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.2 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -0.0 |
| George Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +3.7 |
| Reese McMullen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.5 |
| Niklas Polonowski | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Chris Ubochi | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sash Gavalyugov | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Dixon * | 31 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +32.2 |
| Tyler Perkins * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | +37.6 |
| Jhamir Brickus * | 29 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +38.1 |
| Jordan Longino * | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +17.1 |
| Enoch Boakye * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Wooga Poplar | 25 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +26.6 |
| Josiah Moseley | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Kris Parker | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Nnanna Njoku | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Jordann Dumont | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.2 |
* = starter