Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.7 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Vander Baan | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | -3.1 |
| Mark Butler | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -13.4 |
| Devin Hines | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Pettit | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Caleb Williams | 20 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Joshua Wyche | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Misha Bednostin | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Alex Chaikin | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +8.3 |
| Luka Savicevic | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Malik Rasul | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Andrew Phillips | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +7.4 |
| TJ Berger | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3.6 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Longino | 36 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Tyler Perkins | 36 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Wooga Poplar | 34 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | +12.2 |
| Jhamir Brickus | 31 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Enoch Boakye | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | +10.4 |
| Josiah Moseley | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Nnanna Njoku | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12.2 |
| Kris Parker | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.1 |
* = starter