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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 5.4% 94.6% -
Margin 0.5% 99.5% +28.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 25.0% 75.0% -
Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 6.2% 93.8% -

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Batties II * 36 2-7 0-2 1-2 9 1 1 1 1 5 9 -4.0
C. Pigge * 35 5-10 2-4 3-4 7 5 0 1 2 15 16 -3.9
R. Hinton * 32 5-14 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 2 11 0 -4.1
L. Lesmond * 30 3-11 2-9 3-5 4 0 1 0 0 11 5 -7.9
E. Nelson * 26 4-11 1-5 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 11 5 +10.2
T. Barbour 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -8.9
B. Eisendrath 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 2 4 -6.0
X. Nesbitt 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +5.0
L. Byrne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Luis * 33 9-18 1-5 5-7 10 4 1 1 1 24 21 +10.6
K. Richmond * 33 8-14 0-1 2-2 8 4 1 3 1 18 19 +9.7
Z. Ejiofor * 29 4-9 0-2 0-2 8 1 1 1 1 8 9 -4.3
S. Wilcher * 27 4-8 2-5 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 12 8 +7.6
A. Scott * 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +4.4
B. Dunlap 24 1-4 0-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 2 7 -5.9
J. Glover-Toscano 19 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 11 4 -
V. Iwuchukwu 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 +5.0
R. Prey 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.6
S. Ibine Ayo 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.6

* = starter