Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +14 (85-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -4.7 |
| Mustapha Amzil * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Tru Washington * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Filip Borovicanin * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| C.J. Noland | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -4.7 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Braden Appelhans | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Kayde Dotson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Luis Jr. * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kadary Richmond * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 10 | +11.0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 18 | +2.1 |
| Deivon Smith * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Aaron Scott * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +13.4 |
| Brady Dunlap | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Rubén Prey | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.4 |
* = starter