Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Providence Friars -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Moore | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Melvin Council Jr. | 38 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Lajae Jones | 36 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Jonah Hinton | 35 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Noel Brown | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Noah Bolanga | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Xander Wedlow | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Duane Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 36 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Bensley Joseph | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -6.5 |
| Rich Barron | 25 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Wesley Cardet | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Ryan Mela | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +11.5 |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Christ Essandoko | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Anton Bonke | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +7.1 |
| Eli DeLaurier | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
* = starter