Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Rhode Island Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rhode Island Rams +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bensley Joseph | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Jayden Pierre | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Bryce Hopkins | 30 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Christ Essandoko | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -5.4 |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Wesley Cardet | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -16.7 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rich Barron | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +7.1 |
Rhode Island Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Thomas | 38 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | +7.3 |
| Jamarques Lawrence | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.6 |
| David Green | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Jaden House | 25 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | -4.4 |
| David Fuchs | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | +7.6 |
| Tyonne Farrell | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Cam Estevez | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +6.6 |
| Javonte Brown | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Drissa Traore | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.1 |
* = starter