Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Abdul Momoh * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -2.5 |
| Joe Ostrowsky * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Jayden Brown * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -5.9 |
| Darin Smith Jr. * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Haid | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Davonte Sweatman | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.4 |
| J. Jones | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brody Limric | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Floyd Jr. * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Wesley Cardet * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Bensley Joseph * | 29 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Jayden Pierre * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Christ Essandoko | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Rich Barron | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Justyn Fernandez | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.9 |
* = starter