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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Georgetown Hoyas Spread Result
Elo 75.1% 24.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% -
Points Off/Def 17.3% 82.7% -

Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +28 (79-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ard Jr. * 35 6-14 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 3 12 6 -27.1
X. Lipscomb * 27 1-3 1-1 1-2 1 5 1 0 2 4 6 -25.0
D. Hobbs * 24 3-10 1-5 1-2 7 2 1 0 2 8 6 -18.8
D. Adebayo * 23 4-11 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 10 4 -13.7
C. Pacheco * 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -14.6
J. Cordilia 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 4 4 -7.3
J. Ervin 16 2-6 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 5 2 -14.7
A. Keyes 16 1-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -4 -6.6
A. Khadre Kebe 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 5 6 -
T. Wilson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mack * 34 4-14 1-5 1-2 4 5 0 0 2 10 3 +27.0
J. Epps * 32 6-14 3-7 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 19 11 +27.0
M. Peavy * 29 4-6 2-4 2-2 4 4 1 1 3 12 13 +25.6
T. Sorber * 23 7-10 0-0 0-1 12 5 1 0 1 14 21 +23.0
D. Fielder * 22 4-6 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 9 8 +13.1
J. Halaifonua 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -3.7
C. Williams 15 1-2 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 +7.4
J. Burks 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 +9.0
K. Mulready 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 2 4 +8.6

* = starter