Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Georgetown Hoyas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 6 | -8.5 |
| J. Bergens * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -8.5 |
| Louis Bleechmore * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| P. Johnson * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Peyton Smith * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Noah Best | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.9 |
| Michael Rogan | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Deon Perry | 11 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -1.2 |
| B. Seck | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Peavy * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +10.0 |
| Malik Mack * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Jayden Epps * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Thomas Sorber * | 31 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 20 | +2.7 |
| Jordan Burks * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Julius Halaifonua | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +7.4 |
| Drew McKenna | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +5.5 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Caleb Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| C. Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter