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2024-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 70.9% 29.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 โœ— (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - โœ—

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (71-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pop Isaacs * 38 7-20 2-10 2-4 1 5 1 0 2 18 3 -21.2
Jackson McAndrew * 33 4-11 4-11 0-0 14 0 0 1 3 12 13 -21.2
Ryan Kalkbrenner * 32 5-12 0-0 1-3 5 2 0 5 1 11 10 -18.2
Jamiya Neal * 32 2-9 0-5 1-2 5 3 0 1 3 5 2 -12.8
Ty Davis * 24 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -11.1
Shane Thomas 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.7
Mason Miller 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -10.6
Fredrick King 8 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 6 +1.1
Isaac Traudt 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Jasen Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
BJ Davis * 31 7-11 3-5 1-2 9 0 1 1 2 18 16 +24.3
Miles Byrd * 29 6-10 2-4 2-2 2 2 2 2 0 16 14 +17.6
Nick Boyd * 29 3-13 1-4 0-1 6 5 2 0 2 7 5 +9.9
Magoon Gwath * 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 7 9 +1.2
J. Coleman-Jones * 24 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 1 2 5 3 +4.2
Wayne Mckinney Iii 19 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 2 +20.4
Pharaoh Compton 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 +19.0
Taj Degourville 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 4 5 +7.9
Miles Heide 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 1 0 2 6 +4.7

* = starter