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2024-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.6 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabe Mullins * 35 4-9 2-6 2-2 7 4 1 2 4 12 13 +0.5
Patrick McMahon * 26 5-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
Tyler Patterson * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 3 -0.9
Max Agbonkpolo * 23 5-12 2-5 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 13 1 +8.2
Brandon Walker * 20 3-8 1-1 2-4 3 1 1 0 3 9 3 -0.7
Brian Goracke 24 4-9 4-8 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 14 5 -0.5
Chika Nduka 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 5 +3.6
Bryce Zephir 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 0 3 -5.7
Jed Miller 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +2.5
Sam Lecholat 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -3.2

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Klesmit * 36 7-15 6-11 6-6 0 1 2 0 0 26 14 -0.4
John Blackwell * 34 4-13 3-6 2-2 6 3 2 0 3 13 8 +4.1
John Tonje * 27 2-4 1-2 8-9 4 1 0 0 3 13 11 +3.9
Steven Crowl * 24 1-4 0-0 4-4 4 4 0 0 4 6 6 -1.9
Nolan Winter * 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 6 11 +6.3
Kamari McGee 27 5-7 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 11 11 -0.1
Carter Gilmore 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 4 6 -0.6
Markus Ilver 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.6
Xavier Amos 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.1
Jack Janicki 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter