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2024-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +27 (91-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa 37 7-16 3-11 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 17 6 -18.5
Kenny Noland 36 6-10 4-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 16 17 -18.5
Avery Brown 31 3-12 1-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 3 9 -2 -23.1
Zinou Eddine Bedri 24 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 8 8 -20.4
Blair Thompson 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 5 -6.5
Mason Ritter 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 1 2 -6.4
Jake Tavroff 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -6.1
Noah Robledo 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 +4.2
Nicolo Romanelli 9 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 +1.7
Josiah Cunningham 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -7.2
Nigel Clarkson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Gerard O'Keefe 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.8

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Harper 32 6-10 4-7 0-0 11 12 3 1 1 16 32 +24.9
Ace Bailey 31 11-18 1-4 1-2 8 1 1 2 1 24 17 +21.7
Jamichael Davis 29 4-8 2-5 1-2 3 7 3 1 0 11 17 +24.6
Jeremiah Williams 22 4-10 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 9 4 +13.8
Lathan Sommerville 19 5-7 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 11 8 -1.0
Jordan Derkack 16 1-5 0-1 3-3 1 1 2 0 0 5 4 +1.6
Tyson Acuff 15 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 +9.8
Emmanuel Ogbole 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 +12.6
PJ Hayes IV 11 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1.1
Zach Martini 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.3
Peter Noble 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +0.9
Max Fradkin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter