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2024-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Monmouth Hawks Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Margin 3.4% 96.6% +18.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +17 (98-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Collins * 38 2-9 2-8 0-0 4 5 2 0 3 6 5 -9.4
Madison Durr * 35 7-16 1-1 2-2 3 4 3 0 3 17 8 -4.9
Abdi Bashir Jr. * 33 11-23 10-17 6-6 1 0 0 0 0 38 16 -13.0
Cornelius Robinson Jr. * 25 1-7 0-1 1-2 8 2 2 0 1 3 7 -3.2
Jordan Meka * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -10.8
Chris Morgan 13 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 +8.1
Jaret Valencia 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.2
Andrew Ball 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2.4
Justin Ray 9 3-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 -1 +0.1
Aric Demings 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.6
Dok Muordar 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sam Fagan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
Lucas Orchard 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.7
Quinn Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jack Leahy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
Corey Miller 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.7

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Derkack * 30 1-2 0-1 4-4 6 9 2 0 2 6 19 -0.5
Dylan Harper * 30 6-9 2-3 6-6 5 6 0 2 1 20 23 +8.7
Ace Bailey * 30 5-10 1-3 6-8 6 0 2 1 2 17 14 +13.4
Zach Martini * 26 7-10 4-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 18 11 +7.7
Emmanuel Ogbole * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Lathan Sommerville 23 4-8 0-0 2-5 7 0 1 2 1 10 11 +6.0
PJ Hayes IV 22 3-5 3-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 11 12 +10.1
Jamichael Davis 21 3-5 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 9 7 +11.0
Tyson Acuff 10 1-2 1-2 2-3 0 1 1 0 0 5 5 -2.3
Max Fradkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Peter Noble 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.8

* = starter