Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Todorovic * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -15.8 |
| M. Odum * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -16.9 |
| D. Butka * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -13.2 |
| B. Coulibaly * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Z. Bethea * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -8.6 |
| T. Au-Duke | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -9.3 |
| J. Olvera | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -5.4 |
| D. Mager | 16 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -1.9 |
| A. Faure | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5.7 |
| A. Leiba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +16.9 |
| B. Barnhizer * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +14.2 |
| J. Leach * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +21.3 |
| M. Nicholson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +5.7 |
| T. Berry * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| J. Mullins | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +17.9 |
| L. Hunger | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +6.0 |
| K.J. Windham | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| A. Ciaravino | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.0 |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| G. Hurlburt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter