Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Jabe Mullins * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Patterson * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Brandon Walker * | 19 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | -5.9 |
| Patrick McMahon * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| BJ Kolly | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Brian Goracke | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Sam Lecholat | 17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +10.5 |
| Jed Miller | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Bryce Zephir | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 35 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Ty Berry * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Jalen Leach * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Brooks Barnhizer * | 28 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | +2.7 |
| Matthew Nicholson * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +6.1 |
| Justin Mullins | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luke Hunger | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -8.2 |
| K.J. Windham | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.6 |
* = starter