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2024-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 12.6% 87.4% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +22.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +22 (90-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Martin 34 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 5 0 0 3 5 7 -20.2
K. Hobbs 33 9-17 2-6 5-5 6 4 0 0 2 25 16 -17.2
R. Lawson 29 4-11 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 11 6 -7.2
W. Thomas 29 5-15 1-3 2-4 2 2 1 0 1 13 2 -21.4
D. Akitoby 25 3-8 0-0 4-4 11 1 1 1 0 10 16 -3.3
D. Topps 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -12.6
T. Edwards 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.7
M. Harris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -14.2
M. Wade 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 +4.9
P. Shirk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Oliver 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Patterson 32 1-11 0-6 4-5 3 6 0 0 1 6 3 +21.0
I. Asuma 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 +19.2
D. Garcia 24 5-7 4-5 4-6 8 1 1 3 0 18 24 +12.0
M. Mitchell Jr. 24 8-10 6-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 22 18 +14.2
P. Fox 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 3 1 1 3 0 11 14 +13.9
F. Odukale 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 2 2 4 +5.5
K. Betts 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 +8.6
B. Rigsby 15 3-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 7 3 +13.5
T. Edmonds 11 2-5 0-0 1-5 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -3.2
F. Mitchell 11 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 1 0 10 15 +1.0
C. Williams 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -5.1

* = starter