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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Margin 32.8% 67.2% +4.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +7 (95-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Madsen 31 10-20 6-11 0-0 6 4 1 1 2 26 16 -17.6
Gabe Madsen 30 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 9 4 -13.1
Lawson Lovering 26 11-14 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 25 17 -20.2
Hunter Erickson 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 0 6 -10.5
Miro Little 23 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 2 3 -15.9
Caleb Lohner 21 2-4 0-1 2-4 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 +3.2
Mike Sharavjamts 16 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 5 2 2 3 6 11 -6.5
Zach Keller 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 6 7 +2.6
Ezra Ausar 10 2-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -1.1
Jake Wahlin 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -4.5

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Sandfort 36 8-14 2-5 6-6 8 1 1 0 1 24 19 -
Josh Dix 33 7-10 0-1 1-2 3 4 2 1 3 15 12 +17.3
Drew Thelwell 29 3-5 2-3 7-8 2 2 1 0 1 15 14 +20.3
Brock Harding 28 4-13 2-5 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 12 5 +16.2
Pryce Sandfort 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
Ladji Dembele 20 2-4 1-1 0-2 4 0 1 1 2 5 5 +5.9
Owen Freeman 19 7-11 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 3 2 16 15 -2.9
Cooper Koch 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.5
Carter Kingsbury 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2

* = starter