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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Taylor IV 33 6-17 2-8 5-5 3 4 2 0 1 19 10 +6.1
S. Washington 31 2-5 2-3 2-2 9 2 0 2 1 8 15 -
H. Coleman III 27 1-4 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 0 1 5 8 +2.7
Z. Phelps 26 5-17 2-6 0-0 1 2 2 1 2 12 -1 +11.8
J. Carter 24 5-6 3-4 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 16 17 +9.9
H. Hefner 18 0-2 0-1 0-2 4 1 1 1 0 0 5 -6.8
P. Payne 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 3 -0.8
M. Obaseki 13 3-12 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 -5 +1.6
A. Garcia 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -5.9
CJ Wilcher 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +5.4

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dar. Williams 31 3-8 2-4 3-4 4 5 0 2 5 11 9 -6.1
C. McMillian 30 7-14 5-10 4-4 5 0 0 1 2 23 13 -6.7
K. Overton 29 6-13 4-9 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 17 8 +3.2
E. Hawkins 29 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 3 6 7 4 -4.3
F. Federiko 26 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 4 0 0 7 16 -1.6
C. Anderson 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
K. Walton 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2
E. Yalaho 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 2 6 -5.3

* = starter