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2024-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +21.0 โœ“ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Addison Patterson 26 8-18 0-4 2-2 4 1 2 1 1 18 7 -10.6
Love Bettis 25 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 1 -15.2
Willie Williams 25 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -11.9
Micah Thomas 23 6-9 3-6 4-5 1 1 1 0 2 19 11 -7.8
Jerald Colonel 19 3-4 0-0 1-4 5 0 2 2 0 7 12 -1.8
Jon Sanders 17 0-5 0-3 1-4 2 1 2 0 1 1 0 -13.4
JT Warren 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +6.5
Landyn Jumawan 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -12.4
Justin Redmond 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2.8
J.C. Riley 11 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -15.5
Lado Laku 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -5.6

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Pope 28 4-11 3-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 11 0 +21.5
Arthur Kaluma 24 2-10 1-4 0-0 13 1 1 2 1 5 11 +20.5
Kadin Shedrick 24 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 2 1 7 14 +21.0
Tramon Mark 23 2-6 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 4 +19.7
Tre Johnson 22 7-11 4-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 18 14 -
Chendall Weaver 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -1.5
Julian Larry 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 3 6 +11.3
Jayson Kent 18 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 9 8 -1.6
Ze'Rik Onyema 16 2-2 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 1 8 10 -5.6
Nic Codie 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.5
Devon Pryor 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.4

* = starter