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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 39 6-14 3-5 6-7 11 4 2 2 1 21 25 +11.5
H. Diarra 35 1-5 0-2 3-4 4 11 1 0 2 5 14 +13.4
L. McNeeley 35 2-4 1-2 2-2 9 3 0 0 3 7 12 +12.0
S. Ball 33 6-13 4-9 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 16 6 +17.9
T. Reed Jr. 17 6-8 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 12 8 +7.5
S. Johnson 14 6-7 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 1 2 12 6 +6.8
Y. Singare 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 -3.7
J. Stewart 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.3
A. Mahaney 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 +0.3
J. Ross 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Shedrick 38 2-2 0-0 2-6 4 0 0 2 0 6 10 -7.3
T. Johnson 38 9-17 3-8 3-4 2 4 3 0 2 24 14 -
A. Kaluma 35 6-11 3-4 5-6 9 0 0 1 2 20 17 -7.4
C. Weaver 24 1-2 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 2 5 5 -5.5
J. Larry 22 0-6 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 3 2 -5 -4.7
T. Mark 19 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 3 -3.1
J. Pope 17 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -8.6
Z. Onyema 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.6

* = starter