Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Ante Bass | 25 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -8.9 |
| Tyler Mack | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -5.4 |
| CJ Hines | 22 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -13.9 |
| Amarr Knox | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -18.0 |
| Jasteven Walker | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -12.6 |
| Micah Simpson | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +8.5 |
| TJ Madlock | 17 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Kaego | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ubong Okon | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Micah Octave | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7.9 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Perkins | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +12.4 |
| Tamar Bates | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +10.4 |
| Mark Mitchell | 26 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +28.4 |
| Trent Pierce | 23 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +15.6 |
| Marques Warrick | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Jacob Crews | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8.5 |
| Josh Gray | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Caleb Grill | 11 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Marcus Allen | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.1 |
| T.O. Barrett | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Annor Boateng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter