Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlan Harris | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Sydney Burns | 32 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -12.0 |
| Tova Sabel | 30 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Nya Epps | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Megan Norris | 23 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -7.1 |
| Bria Shine | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.5 |
| Ryann Bennett | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Ally Fitzgerald | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Victoria Baker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Avery Sussex | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10.0 |
| Clara Glad | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nunu Agara | 37 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | +6.9 |
| Jzaniya Harriel | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +17.8 |
| Brooke Demetre | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +8.0 |
| Talana Lepolo | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +12.6 |
| Elena Bosgana | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Courtney Ogden | 21 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -5.0 |
| Chloe Clardy | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Tess Heal | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -12.0 |
| M. Stevenson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -10.5 |
| Shay Ijiwoye | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
* = starter