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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model McNeese Cowboys Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 69.9% 30.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

McNeese Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Charles 35 6-11 3-7 4-5 6 1 1 2 1 19 17 -3.3
Brandon Murray 34 4-8 1-3 1-2 9 4 1 1 1 10 16 -3.4
Javohn Garcia 30 3-8 2-3 2-4 5 2 0 0 4 10 5 +3.5
Omar Cooper 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 2 4 -8.0
Sincere Parker 21 6-11 2-5 2-2 1 0 2 0 0 16 8 -11.4
Christian Shumate 20 2-5 1-2 0-2 7 0 0 2 3 5 6 -
Bryant Selebangue 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 +1.7
Quadir Copeland 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 +9.6
DJ Richards 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.1

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Claudell Harris Jr. 33 3-9 2-8 1-1 6 3 1 0 0 9 10 +7.2
Josh Hubbard 32 3-9 2-5 8-9 1 5 2 0 0 16 15 +7.3
Shawn Jones Jr. 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 +12.4
Riley Kugel 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -4.9
RJ Melendez 23 6-12 1-3 5-7 3 0 2 0 0 18 11 +8.5
Cameron Matthews 23 2-2 0-0 5-6 7 1 2 0 3 9 14 -5.3
KeShawn Murphy 17 1-5 0-0 2-5 6 1 1 1 1 4 7 +1.2
Michael Nwoko 14 1-4 0-0 2-5 2 0 2 0 1 4 3 +3.5
Dellquan Warren 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7

* = starter