Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -22 (58-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard * | 22 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +24.7 |
| RJ Melendez * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +9.4 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. * | 17 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | +23.4 |
| Cameron Matthews * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | +20.7 |
| Michael Nwoko * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.3 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 24 | +21.2 |
| Gai Chol | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Kanye Clary | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +17.1 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Riley Kugel | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +10.3 |
| Dellquan Warren | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Martavious Russell | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Harrison Alexander | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.1 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hill * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -22.6 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -23.7 |
| Julian Rishwain * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Jailen Bedford * | 23 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Jeremiah Cherry * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -13.1 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -24.5 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -14.0 |
| Jacob Bannarbie | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
* = starter