Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +19.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +21 (65-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silvia Nativi | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -3.2 |
| Gabi Fields | 29 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -8.1 |
| Tatum West | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -3.4 |
| London Gamble | 28 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -4.0 |
| Aniah Hall | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Louise Dykstra | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Neenah George | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Claire Fraser | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -4.9 |
| Julia Riley | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -10.9 |
| Ella Van Weelden | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -11.8 |
| April Rummery-Lamb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Diana Saleh | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marah Dykstra | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +9.2 |
| Esmeralda Morales | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Taylee Chirrick | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Dylan Philip | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Katelynn Martin | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Natalie Picton | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Taylor Janssen | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.1 |
| Addison Harris | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +5.4 |
| Ella Johnson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Lexi Deden | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Hannah Robbins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Teagan Erickson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Isobel Bunyan | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +0.6 |
* = starter