Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Barno | 32 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -6.1 |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Z. McLean | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -6.5 |
| K. Kellman | 24 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -1.4 |
| R. Stewart | 23 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +5.2 |
| J. Muniz | 22 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -16.4 |
| M. Duax | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| T. Guillouette | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
| BB Washington | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.7 |
| J. Reddick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| D. Williams | 4 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.1 |
| B. Dwyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Carter | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +9.2 |
| D. Bailey | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +10.1 |
| C. Chest | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | +18.9 |
| J. Sears | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +1.0 |
| D. Collins | 24 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +3.2 |
| V. Miller | 21 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +0.6 |
| C. Givens III | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -4.4 |
| R. Miller III | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.6 |
| A. Benhayoune | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
* = starter