Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Watkins * | 31 | 6-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -4.1 |
| M. Ewin * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | +2.1 |
| C. Jackson * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T.B. Bowen * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -9.4 |
| B. Holt * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +2.8 |
| J. Thomas | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -9.0 |
| D. Davis | 18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -1.2 |
| J. Deng | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3.5 |
| A. Maluk | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -5.5 |
| AJ Swinton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sears * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | +7.6 |
| C. Carter * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | +9.1 |
| D. Bailey * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +4.1 |
| C. Chest * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +1.9 |
| J. Reed * | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.4 |
| V. Miller | 30 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +7.5 |
| D. Collins | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +10.1 |
| R. Miller III | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -5.0 |
| D. Fountain | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| C. Givens III | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.1 |
* = starter