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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Watkins * 31 6-19 0-3 3-4 7 1 1 3 3 15 5 -4.1
M. Ewin * 31 7-14 0-0 3-8 17 2 0 1 1 17 22 +2.1
C. Jackson * 25 5-10 1-3 1-2 2 3 1 1 1 12 8 -
T.B. Bowen * 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 3 3 -9.4
B. Holt * 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 +2.8
J. Thomas 27 3-9 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 1 1 9 5 -9.0
D. Davis 18 1-7 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 5 0 -1.2
J. Deng 16 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 11 8 +3.5
A. Maluk 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -5.5
AJ Swinton 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Sears * 36 6-16 4-10 5-6 6 1 0 1 3 21 10 +7.6
C. Carter * 36 8-15 2-6 8-9 8 2 2 0 2 26 21 +9.1
D. Bailey * 30 3-8 0-3 2-2 5 3 3 0 2 8 9 +4.1
C. Chest * 23 2-2 0-0 0-4 10 1 1 0 1 4 13 +1.9
J. Reed * 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -0.4
V. Miller 30 4-12 3-7 4-6 3 2 1 2 1 15 10 +7.5
D. Collins 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 4 0 4 10 +10.1
R. Miller III 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 5 8 -5.0
D. Fountain 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.9
C. Givens III 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -2.1

* = starter