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2024-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.7% 94.3% +15.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Williams * 29 1-3 0-0 0-3 8 2 1 0 3 2 7 +2.3
Addison Patterson * 26 1-9 0-1 2-4 9 2 2 1 7 4 2 -19.8
Jerald Colonel * 25 3-9 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 2 0 6 8 -13.9
Jon Sanders * 24 5-15 4-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 14 -2 -19.0
Landyn Jumawan * 22 0-3 0-3 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 1 2 -3.9
Micah Thomas 22 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 3 -21.0
Love Bettis 15 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 8 4 -5.2
JT Warren 15 2-7 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -2.8
Chris Mubiru 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -16.9
J.C. Riley 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 +1.2
Mitch Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dji Bailey * 33 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 4 3 1 3 5 12 +21.6
Corey Chest * 31 3-4 0-0 3-4 10 2 1 5 3 9 20 +19.8
Cam Carter * 30 5-13 3-8 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 15 9 +20.4
Jalen Reed * 27 5-9 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 11 8 +5.0
Jordan Sears * 27 6-14 6-11 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 18 11 +14.5
Vyctorius Miller 21 2-7 0-3 7-7 5 2 1 0 1 11 11 +18.0
Curtis Givens III 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 -1 +7.1
Derek Fountain 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 -5.1
Robert Miller III 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 3 6 +3.0
Mike Williams III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Adam Benhayoune 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Trace Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.0

* = starter