Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Madlock * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Micah Octave * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -5.4 |
| CJ Hines * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -15.2 |
| Amarr Knox * | 30 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Ubong Okon * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Mario Andrews | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -6.0 |
| Micah Simpson | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.9 |
| Jasteven Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D'Ante Bass | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Mack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dji Bailey * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | +11.0 |
| Jordan Sears * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +15.0 |
| Cam Carter * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Jalen Reed * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Robert Miller III * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -7.7 |
| Derek Fountain | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +20.6 |
| Daimion Collins | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Curtis Givens III | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -1.8 |
| Mike Williams III | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Vyctorius Miller | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.7 |
* = starter