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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1 (89-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Oweh 38 4-11 0-1 5-6 6 3 0 0 1 13 10 +17.1
J. Robinson 36 7-15 2-5 2-2 3 5 1 0 0 18 12 +2.0
A. Carr 33 8-12 0-1 3-5 7 3 0 1 1 19 17 +1.2
K. Brea 31 2-9 1-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 5 4 +12.0
K. Kriisa 27 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 8 7 +0.9
A. Williams 26 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 12 9 +2.1
B. Garrison 17 4-7 1-2 1-1 9 1 0 1 3 10 11 +6.5
A. Almonor 10 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 +6.8
C. Chandler 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -3.4
T. Perry 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nembhard 42 6-12 1-5 0-0 5 10 1 0 1 13 16 +0.1
N. Hickman 38 4-10 1-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 9 2 +2.8
G. Ike 35 9-16 1-2 9-14 11 4 0 0 0 28 27 -7.2
K. Battle 35 5-9 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 13 6 -7.9
B. Gregg 24 5-11 0-3 4-5 7 0 0 0 0 14 10 -11.9
M. Ajayi 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 +7.8
D. Stromer 18 2-5 2-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 0 6 6 -0.3
B. Huff 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.7
E. Innocenti 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +0.0

* = starter