Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +29 (105-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Archer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Toneari Lane * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -19.0 |
| Nick McMullen * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -17.2 |
| Zarique Nutter * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | -24.6 |
| Cesare Edwards * | 25 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Jelani Hamilton * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Malachi Brown | 36 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -9.3 |
| Clash Peters | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +12.5 |
| Malik Ferguson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Carr * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +9.6 |
| Lamont Butler * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +19.1 |
| Jaxson Robinson * | 27 | 9-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Otega Oweh * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +14.4 |
| Amari Williams * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +9.4 |
| Ansley Almonor | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +28.7 |
| Koby Brea | 22 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +20.6 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Collin Chandler | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Travis Perry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Trent Noah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter