Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +29 (87-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 36 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | -19.6 |
| Jack Collins | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -16.1 |
| Madison Durr | 32 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -12.4 |
| Jaret Valencia | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Chris Morgan | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Dok Muordar | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aric Demings | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Quinn Peters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Ball | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Jordan Meka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Jack Leahy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Sam Fagan | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Lucas Orchard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Justin Ray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford | 27 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +19.6 |
| Denver Jones | 25 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +13.6 |
| Johni Broome | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 25 | +22.6 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 22 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +29.7 |
| Miles Kelly | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +16.0 |
| Chaney Johnson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +23.1 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | +4.6 |
| Jahki Howard | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Chris Moore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -9.1 |
| JP Pegues | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Blake Muschalek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Presley Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| CJ Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter