Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyah Moran | 35 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | +4.1 |
| Leia Beattie | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Taylor Feldman | 31 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Saniyah Neverson | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -11.5 |
| Sophie Glancey | 25 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Olivia Moran | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Audrey Taylor | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -0.6 |
| Talo Li-Uperesa | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Allie Cummins | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -7.9 |
| Ava Schmidt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.4 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Smith | 37 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | +8.8 |
| Sydney Ward | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | +1.9 |
| Anaya James | 29 | 1-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | -11.2 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Nyah Lowery | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Daria Nestorov | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +14.6 |
| Lauren Glazier | 14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +16.0 |
| Marina Radocaj | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Tyla Fautua | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.4 |
| Stella Szabo | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.0 |
| Luisa Anderegg | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Jamie Kent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter