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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 10.9% 89.1% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +38 (91-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Royal 35 4-9 0-1 6-8 5 1 1 1 0 14 13 -28.2
B. Thornton 33 1-7 1-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -26.4
M. Johnson 30 1-4 1-2 2-4 0 2 1 0 2 5 2 -23.1
M. Parrish 28 4-7 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 1 2 10 7 -22.0
J. Mobley Jr. 25 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 3 -14.9
S. Stewart 24 3-11 0-0 2-4 7 0 3 2 0 8 9 -15.1
E. Mahaffey 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.1
A. Parks 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4.8
I. Njegovan 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +1.3

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jones 26 5-6 4-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 14 8 +34.3
J. Broome 26 9-18 1-3 2-3 20 6 1 3 0 21 33 +36.0
Dy. Cardwell 25 5-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 4 0 10 14 +8.9
T. Pettiford 24 3-8 3-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 9 9 +30.3
C. Baker-Mazara 22 2-7 0-3 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 8 5 +28.2
C. Johnson 18 1-4 0-2 3-4 4 2 0 2 0 5 9 +11.0
M. Kelly 15 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 8 3 +8.7
J. Howard 13 3-4 2-2 3-3 0 0 0 1 1 11 7 -4.4
C. Moore 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 +1.9
JP Pegues 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -0.0
J. Hudson 5 2-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 0 +2.2
B. Muschalek 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.5
P. Patterson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter