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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +35.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +44 (98-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Delonnie Hunt 33 2-12 0-4 6-6 4 3 1 0 5 10 1 -32.1
Mikkel Tyne 29 6-10 3-6 1-1 3 0 2 0 2 16 9 -30.5
Dusan Neskovic 27 3-12 1-8 5-5 2 1 1 0 0 12 4 -26.0
Apostolos Roumoglou 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 3 3 3 3 -25.1
Jonathan Beagle 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 2 -19.6
Collin Tanner 19 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -8.0
Jason Roche 19 1-3 1-3 1-3 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -3.3
Mike Walz 14 2-6 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 0 4 6 4 -2.4
Jack Graham 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.5
Ryan Soulis 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8
George Washington III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denver Jones 26 3-10 3-8 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 11 7 +30.6
Johni Broome 23 5-10 0-2 1-4 5 6 0 2 2 11 12 +37.2
Miles Kelly 23 4-7 4-5 3-3 5 2 3 0 0 15 18 +20.8
Tahaad Pettiford 22 4-8 4-8 3-3 3 3 1 1 2 15 13 +12.0
Jahki Howard 21 5-9 1-2 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 13 8 +25.3
Chaney Johnson 20 2-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 0 7 11 +8.2
Dylan Cardwell 20 3-8 0-0 1-3 5 2 2 1 1 7 8 +1.9
Chad Baker-Mazara 19 5-8 1-3 2-2 6 5 1 1 1 13 17 +15.7
Chris Moore 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 +10.4
Ja'Heim Hudson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 +8.6
JP Pegues 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.8
Blake Muschalek 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.0
CJ Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Presley Patterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter