Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones -2 (81-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 | -1.8 |
| Denver Jones * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Miles Kelly * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Dylan Cardwell * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -11.5 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 22 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +10.7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 19 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +0.9 |
| JP Pegues | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -15.2 |
| Chris Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Chaney Johnson | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14.3 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | +9.9 |
| Tamin Lipsey * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +17.7 |
| Milan Momcilovic * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Keshon Gilbert * | 21 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +0.1 |
| Dishon Jackson * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Curtis Jones | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Nate Heise | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.1 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Brandton Chatfield | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
* = starter