Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -15 (54-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacei Denley | 38 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 9 | +9.1 |
| Sabria Dean | 34 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +18.6 |
| Kamryn Wilson | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Akasha Davis | 25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +11.4 |
| NJ Weems | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +1.2 |
| KJ Walker | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9.7 |
| T'Aaliyah Miner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Taliah Hill | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Smith | 37 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Anaya James | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Sydney Ward | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Marina Radocaj | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Lauren Glazier | 23 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Elizabeth Elliott | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | -9.2 |
| Daria Nestorov | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Stella Szabo | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Tyla Fautua | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Jamie Kent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Nyah Lowery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
* = starter