Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.3% | 12.7% | -10.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayton Conerway | 36 | 5-20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Thomas Dowd | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +2.1 |
| Myles Rigsby | 31 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | +6.1 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Jackson Fields | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Theo Seng | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Coo. Campbell | 12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Victor Valdes | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Randarius Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 38 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -9.1 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 23 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Neftali Alvarez | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -1.7 |
| John Wade III | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jett Montgomery | 20 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brewer Carruth | 17 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +11.4 |
| Christian Watson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cobie Montgomery | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trey Alfonso | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Jeffery Armstrong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Jose Benitez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.6 |
* = starter