Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.2% | 17.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +8.1 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +8.6 |
| Myles Corey | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Judah Brown | 27 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +8.2 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Cantia Rahming | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +2.9 |
| John Broom | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| JJ Wheat | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Cooper | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 39 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20 | -5.3 |
| Christian Watson | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cobie Montgomery | 26 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Neftali Alvarez | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7.9 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Jett Montgomery | 17 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 13 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +0.1 |
| John Wade III | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Christian Reid | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jose Benitez | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey Alfonso | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brewer Carruth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Jeffery Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter