Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesare Edwards | 38 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 6 | +3.4 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 35 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 25 | +0.5 |
| Malachi Brown | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Toneari Lane | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Zarique Nutter | 26 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Nick McMullen | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Clash Peters | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Malik Ferguson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Johnson | 40 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -5.5 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 39 | 5-19 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Sean Durugordon | 31 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -3.2 |
| R.J. Blakney | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +7.1 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +6.4 |
| Dani Pounds | 14 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Caden Diggs | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Donovan Raymond | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Vytautas Zygas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Imo Essien | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cooper Jones | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter