Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 35 | 11-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 22 | +0.5 |
| Mikal Dawson | 35 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | -10.0 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 33 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -4.5 |
| Nate Martin | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Jalen Speer | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +8.1 |
| Kai Spears | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Erich Harding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Ryan Nutter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. | 39 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | +7.4 |
| Sean Durugordon | 37 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +1.1 |
| R.J. Blakney | 35 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Jaden Johnson | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -8.5 |
| Caden Diggs | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -5.2 |
| Donovan Raymond | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Vytautas Zygas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
* = starter