Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesare Edwards | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -14.4 |
| Toneari Lane | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -20.0 |
| Nick McMullen | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -12.8 |
| Malachi Brown | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -20.9 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Zarique Nutter | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Malik Ferguson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4.5 |
| Clash Peters | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Jason Jackson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay | 33 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | +17.8 |
| AJ Smith | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +24.6 |
| Mark Freeman | 29 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | +11.2 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +10.0 |
| Xavier Brown | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +11.7 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +10.4 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Justin Taylor | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Noah Williams | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Will Lovings-Watts | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Jarrell Pope | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter