Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4 (56-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Judah Brown | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +15.9 |
| Jayden Cooper | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +11.6 |
| JJ Wheat | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Cantia Rahming | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Myles Corey | 20 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -1.3 |
| John Broom | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Randy Brady | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Julien | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 37 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Joseph Pinion | 36 | 6-16 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 29 | -2.6 |
| Taryn Todd | 30 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Avery Felts | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter