Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 36 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | -4.2 |
| Myles Tate | 35 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -7.9 |
| Dior Conners | 35 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Jalil Beaubrun | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Jackson Threadgill | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Luke Wilson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesare Edwards | 40 | 11-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 19 | +6.9 |
| Toneari Lane | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Malachi Brown | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +5.5 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Nick McMullen | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Zarique Nutter | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Clash Peters | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.5 |
* = starter