Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 35 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -6.1 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Andre Curbelo | 32 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Neftali Alvarez | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Christian Watson | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -8.0 |
| John Wade III | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Christian Reid | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trey Alfonso | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Tate | 37 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +4.0 |
| CJ Huntley | 37 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | +5.2 |
| Dior Conners | 37 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5 | -0.7 |
| Jalil Beaubrun | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -1.4 |
| Jackson Threadgill | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Luke Wilson | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
* = starter