Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -4.8 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 32 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | +0.6 |
| Tylan Pope | 29 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +2.4 |
| Dylan Dawson | 29 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Christian Turner | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drue Drinnon | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9.1 |
| Coleton Benson | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Nate Deer | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Jaylen Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. | 38 | 6-17 | 4-14 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Sean Durugordon | 37 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | +0.3 |
| Jaden Johnson | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -3.1 |
| R.J. Blakney | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Caden Diggs | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Donovan Raymond | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
* = starter