Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Valdes | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Tayton Conerway | 30 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Thomas Dowd | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Jackson Fields | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Myles Rigsby | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Randarius Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay | 33 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Xavier Brown | 31 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 29 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Mark Freeman | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | +2.9 |
| AJ Smith | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Will Lovings-Watts | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Noah Williams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
* = starter